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Red115
109922.6
632868.2
17528.9
Blue135
514232.3
169963.2
346433.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124143050100200250115135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points55
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
76Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
115Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#18
68.20.0
66.866.8
Auto15.5
Teleop45.2
End7.4
red by 5.0
1699
#16
63.20.0
63.863.8
Auto10.2
Teleop46.2
End6.9
Second
175
#3
28.90.0
27.627.5
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.2
blue by 4.0
33.00.0
34.134.1
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
Third
1099
#26
22.60.0
22.722.6
Auto2.4
Teleop17.5
End2.8
blue by 9.7
5142
#19
32.30.0
32.932.9
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4