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Red200
740781.3
715325.9
19565.5
Blue195
331467.4
107123.2
83964.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1811560100300400500600700800200195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points42
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +6
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points70
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
24Processor points18
20Net points24
44Algae points42
118Total teleop112
Reef
11L4#12
10L3#6
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
12Foul points6
200Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.30.5
78.679.1
Auto20.0
Teleop50.3
End11.0
red by 13.9
67.41.0
63.964.8
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
Second
195
#2
65.50.5
62.863.3
Auto17.7
Teleop41.4
End6.4
red by 1.5
839
#8
64.01.0
60.561.4
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
Third
7153
#20
25.90.5
23.724.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End6.2
red by 2.6
1071
#17
23.21.0
21.722.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End2.7