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Red75
55815.9
17730.0
500035.9
Blue116
107349.8
712750.3
199116.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9313705015020025075116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+59
Endgame+47
Fouls+41
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +59
6Coral scored#15
20Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
30Total teleop89
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +41
6Foul points0
75Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#13
35.90.3
36.235.9
Auto13.1
Teleop19.5
End3.2
blue by 14.4
7127
#22
50.30.0
49.449.5
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
Second
177
#9
30.00.3
30.330.0
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End6.9
blue by 19.8
49.80.0
48.948.9
Auto12.8
Teleop27.3
End9.8
Third
558
#23
15.90.3
16.215.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End1.7
blue by 0.8
1991
#24
16.70.0
15.815.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0