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Red0
999110.4
999010.4
999210.4
Blue3
99946.5
318215.6
17661.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3516705010015020025003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto3
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
0Total score3

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
Unranked
10.41.3
11.710.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 51.0
176
#14
61.42.9
65.462.5
Auto17.3
Teleop40.1
End4.0
Second
9991
Unranked
10.41.3
11.710.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 36.0
999
#5
46.52.9
50.547.5
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End2.5
Third
9992
Unranked
10.41.3
11.710.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 5.1
3182
#21
15.62.9
19.616.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1