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Red141
514232.3
169963.2
346433.0
Blue128
107349.8
712750.3
206739.0
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140146050100200250300350141128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points77
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
95Total teleop95
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
141Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#16
63.20.2
63.663.8
Auto10.2
Teleop46.2
End6.9
red by 12.9
7127
#22
50.30.2
49.649.4
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
Second
33.00.2
33.934.1
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
blue by 16.8
49.80.2
49.148.9
Auto12.8
Teleop27.3
End9.8
Third
5142
#19
32.30.2
32.732.9
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
blue by 6.7
2067
#25
39.00.2
39.339.0
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End7.6