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Red107
632868.2
109922.6
808528.8
Blue67
17730.0
971020.4
500035.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1318705010015020010767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
74Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points6
107Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#18
68.20.3
67.166.8
Auto15.5
Teleop45.2
End7.4
red by 32.3
5000
#13
35.90.6
36.836.2
Auto13.1
Teleop19.5
End3.2
Second
8085
#15
28.80.3
27.727.4
Auto5.1
Teleop21.4
End2.3
blue by 1.2
177
#9
30.00.6
30.930.3
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End6.9
Third
1099
#26
22.60.3
23.022.7
Auto2.4
Teleop17.5
End2.8
red by 2.3
9710
#10
20.40.6
21.020.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.0