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Red115
712750.3
23713.2
107349.8
Blue105
99994.0
17730.0
19565.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126102050150200250300350115105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
63Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
10Foul points2
115Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7127
#22
50.30.6
52.251.5
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
blue by 15.2
195
#2
65.51.1
55.856.9
Auto17.7
Teleop41.4
End6.4
Second
49.80.6
46.445.7
Auto12.8
Teleop27.3
End9.8
red by 19.8
177
#9
30.01.1
28.629.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End6.9
Third
237
#27
13.20.6
12.912.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
red by 9.3
9999
#28
4.01.9
1.83.7
Auto0.6
Teleop3.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned