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Red73
199116.7
206739.0
500035.9
Blue89
107123.2
971020.4
55815.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122660501001502002507389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
39Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
4Foul points0
73Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#25
39.02.3
39.437.1
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End7.6
red by 15.8
1071
#17
23.21.6
22.123.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Second
5000
#13
35.92.3
40.738.4
Auto13.1
Teleop19.5
End3.2
red by 15.5
9710
#10
20.41.6
22.323.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.0
Third
1991
#24
16.72.3
13.811.5
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 0.8
558
#23
15.91.6
13.114.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned