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Red215
19565.5
17528.9
740781.3
Blue181
346433.0
632868.2
17661.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183179120140160200220215181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+30Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#25
75Coral points90
5Processor algae#4
9Net algae#6
30Processor points24
36Net points24
66Algae points48
141Total teleop138
Reef
14L4#12
7L3#11
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#42
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
4Foul points0
215Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.32.6
79.682.2
Auto20.0
Teleop50.3
End11.0
red by 13.1
6328
#18
68.20.0
64.864.8
Auto15.5
Teleop45.2
End7.4
Second
195
#2
65.52.6
56.959.5
Auto17.7
Teleop41.4
End6.4
red by 4.1
176
#14
61.40.0
70.570.5
Auto17.3
Teleop40.1
End4.0
Third
175
#3
28.92.6
23.826.5
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.2
blue by 4.0
33.00.0
34.634.6
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsMissed