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Red135
1041327.1
715325.9
169963.2
Blue95
514232.3
712750.3
318215.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121118608010014016013595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
86Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
135Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#16
63.22.0
61.863.7
Auto10.2
Teleop46.2
End6.9
red by 12.9
7127
#22
50.30.9
51.550.7
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
Second
27.12.0
16.218.1
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End4.1
blue by 5.2
5142
#19
32.30.9
34.133.2
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
Third
7153
#20
25.92.0
27.729.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End6.2
red by 10.3
3182
#21
15.60.9
22.621.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed