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Red82
17730.0
55815.9
199116.7
Blue109
99946.5
206739.0
99994.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58113010015020025082109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#17
44Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
62Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
82Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#9
30.00.1
29.729.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End6.9
blue by 16.5
999
#5
46.50.2
45.044.8
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End2.5
Second
1991
#24
16.70.1
11.511.5
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 22.3
2067
#25
39.00.2
37.136.9
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End7.6
Third
558
#23
15.90.1
14.614.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End1.7
red by 11.9
9999
#28
4.00.4
3.73.3
Auto0.6
Teleop3.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed