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Red16
971020.4
23713.2
318215.6
Blue107
346433.0
169963.2
109922.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48151010020025016107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+75
Endgame+91
Fouls+91
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +82
0Coral scored#19
0Coral points68
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
0Total teleop82
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
0L2#5
0L1 · trough#5
2Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points0
16Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9710
#10
20.42.8
23.821.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.0
blue by 42.9
1699
#16
63.21.1
63.762.7
Auto10.2
Teleop46.2
End6.9
Second
3182
#21
15.62.8
21.718.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 17.4
33.01.1
34.633.5
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
Third
237
#27
13.22.8
12.29.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
blue by 9.4
1099
#26
22.61.1
24.823.7
Auto2.4
Teleop17.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned