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Red101
17661.4
107123.2
712750.3
Blue134
997810.3
632868.2
514232.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165112050100150200250101134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+51
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +32
10Coral scored#19
35Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
67Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#5
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
18Foul points0
101Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#14
61.44.1
70.566.3
Auto17.3
Teleop40.1
End4.0
blue by 6.8
6328
#18
68.22.3
64.867.1
Auto15.5
Teleop45.2
End7.4
Second
7127
#22
50.34.1
50.746.5
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
red by 18.0
5142
#19
32.32.3
33.235.4
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
Third
1071
#17
23.24.1
23.719.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End2.7
red by 13.0
9978
#11
10.33.8
2.25.9
Auto1.6
Teleop9.3
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned