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Red90
715325.9
500035.9
331467.4
Blue132
740781.3
1041327.1
17730.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431508010012016018090132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+52
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +44
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points47
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
37Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
12Foul points2
90Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.43.7
64.961.1
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
blue by 13.9
81.30.0
82.282.2
Auto20.0
Teleop50.3
End11.0
Second
5000
#13
35.93.7
39.435.6
Auto13.1
Teleop19.5
End3.2
red by 5.9
177
#9
30.00.0
29.629.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End6.9
Third
7153
#20
25.93.7
29.725.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End6.2
blue by 1.3
27.10.0
18.118.1
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned