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Red126
107123.2
83964.0
346433.0
Blue116
99994.0
17661.4
169963.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121163050100150200250300126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
26Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
18Processor points6
20Net points20
38Algae points26
84Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
126Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#8
64.00.8
58.158.9
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
red by 0.8
1699
#16
63.21.3
62.761.4
Auto10.2
Teleop46.2
End6.9
Second
33.00.8
33.534.4
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
blue by 28.4
176
#14
61.41.3
66.365.1
Auto17.3
Teleop40.1
End4.0
Third
1071
#17
23.20.8
19.620.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End2.7
red by 19.3
9999
#28
4.02.1
3.31.1
Auto0.6
Teleop3.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed