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Red144
17661.4
514232.3
83964.0
Blue36
109922.6
199116.7
23713.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22358010015020025030035014436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+100Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave9
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points4
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +69
19Coral scored#4
70Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
86Total teleop17
Reef
10L4#3
5L3#1
5L2#1
6L1 · trough#0
29Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
144Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#8
64.02.5
64.461.9
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
red by 41.4
1099
#26
22.61.9
26.524.5
Auto2.4
Teleop17.5
End2.8
Second
176
#14
61.42.5
75.873.3
Auto17.3
Teleop40.1
End4.0
red by 44.7
1991
#24
16.71.9
16.915.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Third
5142
#19
32.32.5
38.936.4
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 19.1
237
#27
13.21.9
19.017.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed