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Red77
500035.9
971020.4
99946.5
Blue72
632868.2
712750.3
715325.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351900501002503003507772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points25
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
31Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
77Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#5
46.53.5
51.447.9
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End2.5
blue by 21.7
6328
#18
68.27.0
76.169.0
Auto15.5
Teleop45.2
End7.4
Second
5000
#13
35.93.5
46.943.4
Auto13.1
Teleop19.5
End3.2
blue by 14.4
7127
#22
50.37.0
59.252.2
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
Third
9710
#10
20.43.5
28.324.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.0
blue by 5.5
7153
#20
25.97.0
35.928.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed