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Red86
176432.7
81121.8
328443.9
Blue72
177520.1
199726.1
512626.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103820501502002503003508672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
12Foul points0
86Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#11
43.91.6
46.745.1
Auto5.6
Teleop36.3
End2.0
red by 17.2
5126
#23
26.70.8
29.728.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4
Second
1764
#33
32.71.6
35.834.2
Auto8.6
Teleop22.5
End1.6
red by 6.6
1997
#12
26.10.8
22.021.2
Auto5.9
Teleop17.5
End2.7
Third
8112
#34
1.81.6
7.86.2
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.9
End0.2
blue by 18.3
1775
#27
20.10.8
24.023.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed