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Red95
198211.3
184730.5
181031.0
Blue73
178523.7
999017.8
200113.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1104901502002503003509573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
63Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points0
95Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.9
33.331.4
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End2.6
red by 7.2
1785
#41
23.70.3
33.933.7
Auto2.3
Teleop17.4
End4.0
Second
1847
#31
30.51.9
49.147.2
Auto7.2
Teleop19.3
End4.0
red by 12.7
9990
#26
17.80.4
10.610.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Third
1982
#17
11.32.1
14.212.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.2
blue by 1.8
2001
#28
13.10.3
14.414.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed