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Red20
93532.2
18275.8
173022.2
Blue52
75727.4
171044.5
526823.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8614002003004002052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
12Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points2
20Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#9
32.24.3
29.925.6
Auto3.2
Teleop25.0
End4.0
blue by 12.3
1710
#21
44.54.8
55.450.6
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
Second
1730
#42
22.24.3
40.436.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 5.2
757
#14
27.44.8
29.124.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End8.6
Third
1827
#37
5.84.3
14.910.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 17.2
5268
#39
23.04.8
37.832.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned