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Qual 42025 Cow Town Throwdown
Red39
180218.7
182537.3
509810.8
Blue139
198777.9
234518.8
545433.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9014605020025030035039139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+88
Endgame+100
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +70
5Coral scored#18
18Coral points66
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
26Total teleop96
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#6
7Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points0
39Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#15
37.33.3
45.5→42.2
Auto9.7
Teleop23.7
End3.9
blue by 40.6
1987
#3
77.90.8
76.2→77.0
Auto18.5
Teleop49.1
End10.4
Second
1802
#25
18.73.3
23.8→20.5
Auto1.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 14.6
5454
#10
33.30.8
33.4→34.3
Auto6.5
Teleop27.7
End-1.0
Third
5098
#40
10.83.3
19.8→16.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 8.0
2345
#22
18.80.8
16.9→17.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned