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Red74
596834.2
392848.3
177520.1
Blue75
182537.3
181031.0
199726.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261010501502007475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
49Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
74Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.32.4
49.947.5
Auto9.2
Teleop30.4
End8.8
red by 11.0
1825
#15
37.31.3
42.240.8
Auto9.7
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Second
5968
#18
34.22.4
37.334.9
Auto9.2
Teleop23.9
End1.0
red by 3.2
31.01.3
31.430.1
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End2.6
Third
1775
#27
20.12.4
23.120.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End0.4
blue by 6.1
1997
#12
26.11.3
21.219.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed