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Red101
75727.4
198671.5
684313.0
Blue154
198777.9
941042.0
495920.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125157050100200250101154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+63
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +56
13Coral scored#27
47Coral points97
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
69Total teleop125
Reef
6L4#15
5L3#4
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
101Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.52.0
74.772.7
Auto17.6
Teleop46.6
End7.3
blue by 6.4
77.90.0
77.077.0
Auto18.5
Teleop49.1
End10.4
Second
757
#14
27.42.0
24.322.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End8.6
blue by 14.5
42.00.0
46.045.9
Auto7.3
Teleop27.4
End7.3
Third
6843
#20
13.02.0
20.718.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
blue by 7.4
4959
#16
20.40.0
20.220.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsMissed