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Red131
944514.2
545433.3
580179.8
Blue119
931622.9
93532.2
580945.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14887050100200250131119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+18Teleop
+10Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
87Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points0
131Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.80.5
76.676.1
Auto18.7
Teleop53.1
End8.0
red by 34.7
5809
#35
45.11.7
43.745.4
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
Second
5454
#10
33.30.5
34.333.8
Auto6.5
Teleop27.7
End-1.0
red by 1.1
935
#9
32.21.7
25.627.3
Auto3.2
Teleop25.0
End4.0
Third
9445
#38
14.20.5
19.619.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.4
blue by 8.7
9316
#32
22.91.7
19.020.7
Auto4.4
Teleop16.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned