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Red92
509810.8
392848.3
178523.7
Blue54
18275.8
176432.7
182537.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103820501502009254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
48Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
12Foul points0
92Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.30.9
47.546.6
Auto9.2
Teleop30.4
End8.8
red by 11.0
1825
#15
37.31.6
40.839.3
Auto9.7
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Second
1785
#41
23.70.9
32.231.3
Auto2.3
Teleop17.4
End4.0
blue by 9.0
1764
#33
32.71.6
31.129.5
Auto8.6
Teleop22.5
End1.6
Third
5098
#40
10.80.9
13.312.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
red by 5.0
1827
#37
5.81.6
5.84.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed