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Red131
184730.5
512626.7
171044.5
Blue132
642468.1
882529.4
198211.3
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133144050100200131132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
87Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
12Foul points0
131Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#21
44.50.6
45.945.3
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
blue by 23.6
68.10.2
66.566.7
Auto16.8
Teleop41.2
End10.1
Second
1847
#31
30.50.6
43.743.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.3
End4.0
red by 1.1
8825
#36
29.40.2
38.839.0
Auto3.2
Teleop22.6
End3.5
Third
5126
#23
26.70.6
27.426.8
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4
red by 15.5
1982
#17
11.30.2
12.312.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned