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Red78
199726.1
999017.8
234518.8
Blue34
511918.5
17638.9
445512.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449102030406070807834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
9Coral scored#5
31Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
55Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
78Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#12
26.11.3
19.921.2
Auto5.9
Teleop17.5
End2.7
red by 7.6
5119
#30
18.51.2
13.612.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
Second
2345
#22
18.81.3
16.117.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 5.9
4455
#19
12.81.2
13.812.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End4.6
Third
9990
#26
17.82.2
10.612.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End1.8
red by 8.9
1763
#29
8.91.2
14.613.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed