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Red87
180218.7
596834.2
75727.4
Blue58
328443.9
684313.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94750501508758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+23Teleop
+31Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
64Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points2
87Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5968
#18
34.20.6
34.935.5
Auto9.2
Teleop23.9
End1.0
blue by 9.7
3284
#11
43.90.8
43.642.7
Auto5.6
Teleop36.3
End2.0
Second
757
#14
27.40.6
22.322.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End8.6
red by 14.4
6843
#20
13.00.8
18.717.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
Third
1802
#25
18.70.6
20.721.3
Auto1.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 14.0
4.70.8
6.05.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed