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Red96
941042.0
241019.2
93532.2
Blue72
200113.1
81121.8
580945.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1075801502002509672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +21
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
64Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points0
96Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.3
45.945.6
Auto7.3
Teleop27.4
End7.3
blue by 3.1
5809
#35
45.10.9
45.446.3
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
Second
935
#9
32.20.3
27.327.0
Auto3.2
Teleop25.0
End4.0
red by 19.1
2001
#28
13.10.9
9.410.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.9
Third
2410
#13
19.20.3
21.220.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.6
red by 17.4
8112
#34
1.80.9
3.84.7
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed