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Red100
931622.9
110857.4
944514.2
Blue190
198671.5
181031.0
198777.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81203050100150250300100190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+78
Endgame+90
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points42
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +50
13Coral scored#26
47Coral points93
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
63Total teleop113
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#11
4L2#10
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points0
100Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.4
49.249.6
Auto10.8
Teleop37.1
End9.5
blue by 20.5
77.90.3
77.077.3
Auto18.5
Teleop49.1
End10.4
Second
9316
#32
22.90.4
20.721.1
Auto4.4
Teleop16.1
End2.4
blue by 48.6
71.50.3
72.773.0
Auto17.6
Teleop46.6
End7.3
Third
9445
#38
14.20.4
19.119.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.4
blue by 16.8
31.00.3
30.130.4
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned