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Red92
495920.4
545433.3
177520.1
Blue88
173022.2
580179.8
526823.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731670501001502002503009288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+10Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points48
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
24Processor points6
20Net points8
44Algae points14
83Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
92Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#10
33.31.2
33.834.9
Auto6.5
Teleop27.7
End-1.0
blue by 46.5
79.83.4
76.172.7
Auto18.7
Teleop53.1
End8.0
Second
4959
#16
20.41.2
20.221.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End0.1
blue by 2.6
5268
#39
23.03.4
30.527.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Third
1775
#27
20.11.2
20.721.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End0.4
blue by 2.2
1730
#42
22.23.4
32.929.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsMissed