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Red59
999017.8
512626.7
445512.8
Blue99
182537.3
882529.4
392848.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4015301002002503005999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#15
27Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
35Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
6Foul points0
59Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#23
26.70.1
26.826.8
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4
blue by 21.6
48.31.7
46.644.9
Auto9.2
Teleop30.4
End8.8
Second
9990
#26
17.80.1
12.712.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End1.8
blue by 19.5
1825
#15
37.31.7
39.337.5
Auto9.7
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Third
4455
#19
12.80.1
12.612.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End4.6
blue by 16.5
8825
#36
29.41.7
39.037.3
Auto3.2
Teleop22.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned