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Red74
171044.5
176432.7
17638.9
Blue72
184730.5
509810.8
596834.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210180901101207472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#9
30Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
40Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#2
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points6
74Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#21
44.50.9
45.344.3
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
red by 10.4
5968
#18
34.21.7
35.533.8
Auto9.2
Teleop23.9
End1.0
Second
1764
#33
32.70.9
29.528.5
Auto8.6
Teleop22.5
End1.6
red by 2.2
1847
#31
30.51.7
43.141.4
Auto7.2
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
1763
#29
8.90.9
13.412.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End0.6
blue by 1.9
5098
#40
10.81.7
12.510.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed