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Red49
241019.2
931622.9
199726.1
Blue88
110857.4
180218.7
18275.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69870501502002503003504004988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
31Total teleop61
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
49Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#12
26.10.9
21.220.2
Auto5.9
Teleop17.5
End2.7
blue by 31.3
57.40.9
49.650.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.1
End9.5
Second
9316
#32
22.90.9
21.120.1
Auto4.4
Teleop16.1
End2.4
red by 4.2
1802
#25
18.70.9
21.322.2
Auto1.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
2410
#13
19.20.9
20.919.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.6
red by 13.4
1827
#37
5.80.9
4.35.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed