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Red79
75727.4
511918.5
200113.1
Blue179
580179.8
177520.1
198671.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3120305010015025030035079179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+110
Endgame+100
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points37
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +82
9Coral scored#26
34Coral points94
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
54Total teleop136
Reef
4L4#15
2L3#6
3L2#8
1L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points0
79Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
757
#14
27.41.4
22.924.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End8.6
blue by 52.3
79.80.1
72.772.7
Auto18.7
Teleop53.1
End8.0
Second
5119
#30
18.51.4
12.413.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
blue by 53.1
71.50.1
73.073.1
Auto17.6
Teleop46.6
End7.3
Third
2001
#28
13.11.4
10.311.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.9
blue by 7.0
1775
#27
20.10.1
21.921.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed