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Red72
684313.0
182537.3
200113.1
Blue33
173022.2
931622.9
81121.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725702040801001207233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +17
8Coral scored#5
29Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
43Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
72Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#15
37.30.5
37.538.1
Auto9.7
Teleop23.7
End3.9
red by 14.5
9316
#32
22.91.1
20.119.0
Auto4.4
Teleop16.1
End2.4
Second
2001
#28
13.10.5
11.812.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.9
blue by 9.1
1730
#42
22.21.1
27.926.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Third
6843
#20
13.00.5
14.615.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
red by 11.2
8112
#34
1.81.1
1.50.4
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed