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Red153
110857.4
75727.4
199726.1
Blue88
509810.8
580945.1
171044.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105101608012014015388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+45Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
4Coral scored#8
18Coral points41
27Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +59
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points29
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
102Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
153Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.44.0
49.953.9
Auto10.8
Teleop37.1
End9.5
red by 12.3
5809
#35
45.10.8
45.444.7
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
Second
757
#14
27.44.0
23.327.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End8.6
blue by 17.1
1710
#21
44.50.8
43.843.1
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
Third
1997
#12
26.14.0
20.124.1
Auto5.9
Teleop17.5
End2.7
red by 15.3
5098
#40
10.80.8
10.69.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed