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Red90
241019.2
177520.1
182537.3
Blue49
684313.0
944514.2
184730.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857602003004005009049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
66Total teleop31
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
90Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#15
37.30.3
38.138.4
Auto9.7
Teleop23.7
End3.9
red by 6.8
1847
#31
30.51.6
38.837.2
Auto7.2
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Second
1775
#27
20.10.3
19.319.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End0.4
red by 5.9
9445
#38
14.21.6
16.715.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.4
Third
2410
#13
19.20.3
18.919.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.6
red by 6.2
6843
#20
13.01.6
15.213.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed