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Red254
580179.8
198777.9
999017.8
Blue29
81121.8
178523.7
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1951905010015025030035025429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+44Auto
+185Teleop
+207Endgame
+225Fouls
AutonomousRed +44
3Leave3
9Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
47Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +141
23Coral scored#3
83Coral points12
6Processor algae#1
11Net algae#1
36Processor points6
44Net points4
80Algae points10
163Total teleop22
Reef
10L4#1
11L3#1
7L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
49Game pieces#5
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +225
18Foul points0
254Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.83.8
73.377.1
Auto18.7
Teleop53.1
End8.0
red by 56.1
1785
#41
23.70.8
28.727.9
Auto2.3
Teleop17.4
End4.0
Second
77.93.8
71.575.3
Auto18.5
Teleop49.1
End10.4
red by 73.2
4.70.8
6.55.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End0.7
Third
9990
#26
17.86.4
10.917.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End1.8
red by 16.0
8112
#34
1.80.8
0.4-0.5
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed