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Red153
511918.5
580945.1
642468.1
Blue95
180218.7
176432.7
526823.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1557605010020025015395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
95Total teleop75
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#4
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
153Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.11.2
65.266.4
Auto16.8
Teleop41.2
End10.1
red by 35.4
1764
#33
32.70.8
30.030.8
Auto8.6
Teleop22.5
End1.6
Second
5809
#35
45.11.2
44.745.8
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
red by 22.0
5268
#39
23.00.8
25.626.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Third
5119
#30
18.51.2
14.415.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
blue by 0.2
1802
#25
18.70.8
16.917.6
Auto1.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed