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Red51
198211.3
234518.8
931622.9
Blue110
392848.3
328443.9
75727.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46139010020025030051110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+41
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
12Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +31
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
33Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
51Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9316
#32
22.90.1
20.320.5
Auto4.4
Teleop16.1
End2.4
blue by 25.4
48.30.4
45.344.9
Auto9.2
Teleop30.4
End8.8
Second
2345
#22
18.80.1
18.118.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End1.4
blue by 25.1
3284
#11
43.90.4
43.643.1
Auto5.6
Teleop36.3
End2.0
Third
1982
#17
11.30.1
10.510.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.2
blue by 16.2
757
#14
27.40.4
27.326.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned