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Red137
181031.0
392848.3
931622.9
Blue98
580945.1
495920.4
176432.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710810010511011512012513513798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+21Teleop
+35Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
87Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#10
10L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
4Foul points0
137Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.32.4
44.947.3
Auto9.2
Teleop30.4
End8.8
red by 3.2
5809
#35
45.10.1
45.845.7
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
Second
31.02.4
28.831.2
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End2.6
blue by 1.8
1764
#33
32.70.1
30.830.6
Auto8.6
Teleop22.5
End1.6
Third
9316
#32
22.92.4
20.522.9
Auto4.4
Teleop16.1
End2.4
red by 2.4
4959
#16
20.40.1
20.620.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed