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Red66
941042.0
445512.8
173022.2
Blue46
944514.2
178523.7
596834.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838640506070901001101206646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +25
11Coral scored#5
40Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
54Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points0
66Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.0
43.642.6
Auto7.3
Teleop27.4
End7.3
red by 7.8
5968
#18
34.22.1
35.633.5
Auto9.2
Teleop23.9
End1.0
Second
1730
#42
22.21.0
21.620.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 1.5
1785
#41
23.72.1
25.823.7
Auto2.3
Teleop17.4
End4.0
Third
4455
#19
12.81.0
13.812.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End4.6
blue by 1.3
9445
#38
14.22.1
16.314.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed