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Red113
512626.7
241019.2
110857.4
Blue104
545433.3
75727.4
999017.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11674050100150200250113104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
74Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#5
3L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
113Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.3
55.555.1
Auto10.8
Teleop37.1
End9.5
red by 24.1
5454
#10
33.30.5
32.132.6
Auto6.5
Teleop27.7
End-1.0
Second
5126
#23
26.70.3
27.327.0
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4
blue by 0.7
757
#14
27.40.5
26.927.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End8.6
Third
2410
#13
19.20.3
19.519.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.6
red by 1.3
9990
#26
17.80.8
17.017.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned