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Red116
684313.0
17638.9
198777.9
Blue86
171044.5
198211.3
511918.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1167805010015020011686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
77Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
116Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.90.8
75.576.3
Auto18.5
Teleop49.1
End10.4
red by 33.4
1710
#21
44.50.7
41.742.4
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
Second
6843
#20
13.00.8
12.213.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End4.8
blue by 5.5
5119
#30
18.50.7
15.516.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
Third
1763
#29
8.90.8
8.28.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End0.6
blue by 2.3
1982
#17
11.30.7
10.611.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed