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Red37
882529.4
931622.9
Blue57
944514.2
511918.5
241019.2
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8975501001503757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+20
Endgame+22
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
30Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points0
37Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8825
#36
29.43.2
43.640.4
Auto3.2
Teleop22.6
End3.5
red by 10.2
2410
#13
19.20.9
25.624.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.6
Second
9316
#32
22.93.2
22.219.0
Auto4.4
Teleop16.1
End2.4
red by 4.4
5119
#30
18.50.9
16.115.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.5
Third
4.73.2
9.56.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End0.7
blue by 9.4
9445
#38
14.20.9
20.519.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed