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Red106
198671.5
495920.4
445512.8
Blue104
580945.1
17638.9
941042.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311890100110130140150160106104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points24
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
71Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points12
106Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.50.2
75.074.7
Auto17.6
Teleop46.6
End7.3
red by 26.5
5809
#35
45.11.2
44.943.7
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
Second
4959
#16
20.40.2
20.420.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End0.1
blue by 21.5
42.01.2
47.246.0
Auto7.3
Teleop27.4
End7.3
Third
4455
#19
12.80.2
14.314.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End4.6
red by 3.9
1763
#29
8.91.2
18.217.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned