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Red5
200113.1
171044.5
18275.8
Blue85
512626.7
178523.7
328443.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81126050100150200585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+74
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +71
1Coral scored#13
2Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#5
0Processor points6
0Net points20
0Algae points26
2Total teleop73
Reef
1L4#6
0L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
1Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
5Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#21
44.54.7
50.645.9
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End3.0
red by 0.6
3284
#11
43.91.5
45.143.6
Auto5.6
Teleop36.3
End2.0
Second
2001
#28
13.14.7
14.19.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.9
blue by 13.7
5126
#23
26.71.5
28.927.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4
Third
1827
#37
5.84.7
10.55.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 17.9
1785
#41
23.71.5
33.732.2
Auto2.3
Teleop17.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed