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Red159
941042.0
882529.4
580945.1
Blue81
181031.0
184730.5
512626.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329505015020025015981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+76Teleop
+84Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +55
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
108Total teleop53
Reef
13L4#3
6L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points6
159Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#35
45.10.9
45.746.6
Auto14.4
Teleop29.2
End1.5
red by 14.1
31.00.3
31.230.9
Auto6.2
Teleop22.1
End2.6
Second
42.00.9
42.643.5
Auto7.3
Teleop27.4
End7.3
red by 11.5
1847
#31
30.50.3
30.830.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
8825
#36
29.40.9
30.030.9
Auto3.2
Teleop22.6
End3.5
red by 2.6
5126
#23
26.70.3
27.026.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End0.4