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Red190
173022.2
642468.1
198777.9
Blue137
596834.2
328443.9
545433.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19311150150250300190137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+43Teleop
+55Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
25Coral scored#24
89Coral points87
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
137Total teleop119
Reef
17L4#8
7L3#9
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points2
190Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.90.6
76.376.9
Auto18.5
Teleop49.1
End10.4
red by 34.0
3284
#11
43.90.6
43.243.8
Auto5.6
Teleop36.3
End2.0
Second
68.10.6
66.567.1
Auto16.8
Teleop41.2
End10.1
red by 33.9
5968
#18
34.20.6
33.534.0
Auto9.2
Teleop23.9
End1.0
Third
1730
#42
22.20.6
20.621.2
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 11.1
5454
#10
33.30.6
32.633.2
Auto6.5
Teleop27.7
End-1.0